Base reforecast
3,290,000 ر.سEBITDARevenue 12,850,000 ر.س · OPEX 9,560,000 ر.س
Q1-Q2 actual plus Q3-Q4 engine forecast; no overlay.
ذكاء التوقعات والسيناريوهاتForecast & Scenario Intelligence
يجمع هذا العرض بين إعادة التوقع السنوية الحتمية وسلسلة نقدية اصطناعية من 13 أسبوعًا. سيناريوهات الحساسية تغيّر فترات Forecast فقط، ولا تمثل توقعًا احتماليًا أوالتزامًا ماليًا.
Revenue downside
2,957,500 ر.سEBITDARevenue 12,517,500 ر.س · OPEX 9,560,000 ر.س
Reduce Q3-Q4 forecast revenue by 5%; actual periods and OPEX remain unchanged.
Cost stress
3,045,000 ر.سEBITDARevenue 12,850,000 ر.س · OPEX 9,805,000 ر.س
Increase Q3-Q4 forecast OPEX by 5%; actual periods and revenue remain unchanged.
Actual / Forecast bridge · الجسر الربعي
Q1ACTUAL3,150,000 ر.س / 2,300,000 ر.سBase EBITDA 850,000 ر.س · Revenue downside 3,150,000 ر.س · Cost stress OPEX 2,300,000 ر.س
Q2ACTUAL3,050,000 ر.س / 2,360,000 ر.سBase EBITDA 690,000 ر.س · Revenue downside 3,050,000 ر.س · Cost stress OPEX 2,360,000 ر.س
Q3FORECAST3,275,000 ر.س / 2,390,000 ر.سBase EBITDA 885,000 ر.س · Revenue downside 3,111,250 ر.س · Cost stress OPEX 2,509,500 ر.س
Q4FORECAST3,375,000 ر.س / 2,510,000 ر.سBase EBITDA 865,000 ر.س · Revenue downside 3,206,250 ر.س · Cost stress OPEX 2,635,500 ر.س
Reconciliation: PASS_BASE_TOTALS_MATCH_ENGINE. Actual periods immutable: True. Forecast-only periods: Q3, Q4.
13-Week Cash Forecast · التوقع النقدي
Opening cash is bound to the synthetic Twin source. Each week satisfies opening + inflows − outflows = closing, and each closing flows into the next opening.
W18,700,000 ر.سOpen 8,400,000 ر.س
+ 2,200,000 ر.س · − 1,900,000 ر.س
+ 2,200,000 ر.س · − 1,900,000 ر.س
W28,400,000 ر.سOpen 8,700,000 ر.س
+ 1,800,000 ر.س · − 2,100,000 ر.س
+ 1,800,000 ر.س · − 2,100,000 ر.س
W38,900,000 ر.سOpen 8,400,000 ر.س
+ 2,500,000 ر.س · − 2,000,000 ر.س
+ 2,500,000 ر.س · − 2,000,000 ر.س
W48,200,000 ر.سOpen 8,900,000 ر.س
+ 1,600,000 ر.س · − 2,300,000 ر.س
+ 1,600,000 ر.س · − 2,300,000 ر.س
W58,450,000 ر.سOpen 8,200,000 ر.س
+ 2,100,000 ر.س · − 1,850,000 ر.س
+ 2,100,000 ر.س · − 1,850,000 ر.س
W68,200,000 ر.سOpen 8,450,000 ر.س
+ 1,950,000 ر.س · − 2,200,000 ر.س
+ 1,950,000 ر.س · − 2,200,000 ر.س
W78,550,000 ر.سOpen 8,200,000 ر.س
+ 2,400,000 ر.س · − 2,050,000 ر.س
+ 2,400,000 ر.س · − 2,050,000 ر.س
W88,100,000 ر.سOpen 8,550,000 ر.س
+ 1,700,000 ر.س · − 2,150,000 ر.س
+ 1,700,000 ر.س · − 2,150,000 ر.س
W98,450,000 ر.سOpen 8,100,000 ر.س
+ 2,300,000 ر.س · − 1,950,000 ر.س
+ 2,300,000 ر.س · − 1,950,000 ر.س
W108,250,000 ر.سOpen 8,450,000 ر.س
+ 2,050,000 ر.س · − 2,250,000 ر.س
+ 2,050,000 ر.س · − 2,250,000 ر.س
W118,300,000 ر.سOpen 8,250,000 ر.س
+ 2,150,000 ر.س · − 2,100,000 ر.س
+ 2,150,000 ر.س · − 2,100,000 ر.س
W128,550,000 ر.سOpen 8,300,000 ر.س
+ 2,250,000 ر.س · − 2,000,000 ر.س
+ 2,250,000 ر.س · − 2,000,000 ر.س
W138,800,000 ر.سOpen 8,550,000 ر.س
+ 2,600,000 ر.س · − 2,350,000 ر.س
+ 2,600,000 ر.س · − 2,350,000 ر.س
PASS_13_WEEK_SEQUENCE_CONTINUITY_AND_CASH_EQUATION · Source capability QA_PENDING · Minimum reserve NOT_AVAILABLE_IN_13_WEEK_SOURCE_CONTRACT.
الافتراضات والحدود · Assumptions & bounds
Classification: SYNTHETIC_WHAT_IF_NOT_PREDICTION · Probability claim: NONE · Confidence claim: NONE.
Scenario ProbabilitiesNOT_AVAILABLE_IN_SOURCE_CONTRACT
Forecast Confidence IntervalsNOT_AVAILABLE_IN_SOURCE_CONTRACT
Ar Timing DetailNOT_AVAILABLE_IN_SOURCE_CONTRACT
Ap Timing DetailNOT_AVAILABLE_IN_SOURCE_CONTRACT
Cash Reserve ThresholdNOT_AVAILABLE_IN_13_WEEK_SOURCE_CONTRACT
Evidence Lens · Provenance
Engine DIOM-FIN-007 · finance-p0-engine-1.0.0 · Calculation 751fa7dede30f8a32c0dbf37ceec219372ab7700187b2c250388457ced8771b2
Twin DIOM-CFO-TWIN-VIEW-SYNTH-001 · Snapshot DIOM-SEDT-SNAPSHOT-2026-09-22-A · Payload b7a6eedc3095509a9e1231fe5d4f1d8b7d5c3eb82a526f1bf42bfa857b9cb8d5
Creator verifier VERIFIED_CFO_TWIN_VIEW_CREATOR_SIDE_ONLY · Independent QA PENDING.
Authority boundary
READ ONLY · FICTIONAL SYNTHETIC DATA · NO FORECAST COMMITMENT · NO SCENARIO EXECUTION · NO FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS · NO CORE STATE MUTATION · NO PRODUCTION AUTHORITY.
Implemented and creator-tested only. Independent acceptance: PENDING.